Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.096500 0.111597 0.128266 0.148034 0.170842 0.196334 0.226998
2025-12-14 0.070945 0.090699 0.114750 0.146188 0.186214 0.235504 0.300879
2025-12-21 0.058445 0.080137 0.108412 0.147968 0.201912 0.272985 0.373898
2025-12-28 0.051667 0.075007 0.107171 0.154727 0.223318 0.318801 0.462115
2026-01-04 0.045855 0.069947 0.104784 0.158826 0.240647 0.360102 0.548234
2026-01-11 0.041134 0.065588 0.102506 0.162288 0.256814 0.400824 0.637597
2026-01-18 0.036811 0.061119 0.099290 0.163574 0.269330 0.436836 0.723278
2026-01-25 0.032540 0.056094 0.094454 0.161450 0.275790 0.463534 0.796488
2026-02-01 0.028386 0.050684 0.088261 0.156162 0.276101 0.479793 0.853553
2026-02-08 0.026159 0.048279 0.086775 0.158603 0.289652 0.519388 0.954678
2026-02-15 0.023948 0.045610 0.084476 0.159238 0.299896 0.554013 1.050385
2026-02-22 0.022222 0.043608 0.083112 0.161338 0.312884 0.594633 1.161171
2026-03-01 0.019934 0.040308 0.079051 0.158030 0.315577 0.616997 1.240918
2026-03-08 0.018072 0.037623 0.075870 0.156069 0.320672 0.644495 1.333971
2026-03-15 0.016848 0.036071 0.074713 0.157969 0.333586 0.688450 1.464775
2026-03-22 0.016276 0.035801 0.076087 0.165184 0.358134 0.758199 1.656533
2026-03-29 0.015475 0.034938 0.076129 0.169560 0.377116 0.818329 1.834385
2026-04-05 0.014680 0.033994 0.075882 0.173255 0.394976 0.877823 2.017290
2026-04-12 0.013766 0.032671 0.074662 0.174628 0.407781 0.927581 2.183755
2026-04-19 0.012664 0.030786 0.071983 0.172361 0.412012 0.958646 2.310607
2026-04-26 0.011437 0.028460 0.068048 0.166716 0.407716 0.969820 2.391794
2026-05-03 0.010867 0.027663 0.067591 0.169321 0.423365 1.028851 2.594527
2026-05-10 0.010222 0.026607 0.066403 0.169999 0.434360 1.077897 2.777995